A weekly move from 3% to 39% of leadership stocks near buy points is huge! This leadership is carrying the market, now we just need to see the major indices follow the NAS is punching thru Feb highs. The commodies are leading the way with the fertilizers, oils, and steel stocks. But don't forget Mastercard, and keep Visa on the radar
Follow Through/Leaders Chart
Tuesday, April 8, 2008
Friday, April 4, 2008
Emerging Leadership
This current rally is starting to show signs of strength as leadership is starting to take form. Today's scan shows the oils as the emerging industry group. With record crude prices increasing profit margins, oils stocks have double and triple digit earnings and sales. Technically, they have all held up and recovered well through the correction. The oils were also the top industry group in new mutual fund buys in Q1.
Tuesday, April 1, 2008
The 3/20 DOW Follow Through is holding, but near term testing is next
Just returned back from my fist visit to Disneyworld and to my surprise, the DOW follows through! DOW follow through's typically are not good rally indicators, but combined with the Russell's FT, there is validity. BUT, a distribution day just 3 days after this FT is bad - almost a sure sign of a failed rally attempt, BUT price/volume action looks good. The action in the IBD100 is also improving, with stocks near buy points increasing from 4% to 16%. I think the market still needs to prove itself, and the indices will be going up against critical near term resistance (DOW 12756, NAS 2419). In the meantime, I have one position in MA.